Salarymen, Specialists, and Small Businesses (noahpinion.blog) AI

The article argues that, in the near term, AI is more likely to replace specific tasks than entire jobs, with employment so far largely holding up. It proposes a three-way shift in work: “specialists” whose roles remain because tasks are tightly bundled and stakes are high, “salarymen” generalists who supervise and patch AI outputs while adapting to changing AI strengths, and more “small business” owners enabled by AI leverage.