Show HN: 65k AI voters predict UK local elections with 75% accuracy (kronaxis.co.uk) AI

Kronaxis reports a forecast for the 7 May 2026 UK local elections using 65,000 synthetic “voters” built from Census 2021 demographics plus a personality and political-history model. After testing the approach against 10 recent English by-elections and applying a calibration correction for consistent bias, the company claims about 75% winner accuracy on that limited validation set. For the first 20 councils in its release, it predicts Reform UK wins 18 of 20, with Labour narrowly holding Manchester and Greens winning Bristol, while predicting Conservatives take no council seats. The post emphasizes that calibration used the same by-elections as evaluation and will need to be validated by the actual election results.